Thursday, November 17, 2011

Jets @ Broncos Part II

You'll see a lot of this guy tonight

Tonight is the night, that hopefully the Jets can get a win. Like I mentioned in an earlier post they have to go up against the aura of Tebow, and they will have to defend a heavy dose of the run. The run actually hurt the Jets earlier in the year but it seems like they have gotten it straightened out, ever since Green-Ellis ran all over them in week five. I was trying to think of teams the Jets have faced that have a run first mentality, there was the Jaguars(which they won 32-3),the Raiders(lost 34-24),the Ravens(lost 34-17), and the Dolphins(won 24-6). The Jags were out of it way early and abandoned the run. The Raiders killed the Jets on the ground with Darren McFadden running for 171 yds.,and 2 TD. Ray Rice was actually held to 66 yds., and 1 TD on the ground. What does this tell us? Nothing really on their 3 game winning streak, they played the Chargers whose offense runs through Rivers. The Dolphins, who fell behind and started chucking it. The Bills who lost Fred Jackson for a period of the game, and who really abandoned the run. So I actually think the Jets will win, why?

Defense: If the D isn't pissed off coming off Sunday night's game, then they don't have any pride. I feel sorry for Tebow because Ryan is going to unleash the hounds on him. Expect to see a lot of run blitzes and a constant 4-3 and 3-4 defensive look. You won't see the Jets in dime or nickel much only because the Broncos don't throw it at all! What is Revis going to do? The Jets can probably get away with putting Wilson on Decker and Cromartie on D.Thomas, and let Revis spy Tebow? Why not? Have your best defensive player take out their #1 offensive weapon. Either that or let Harris spy Tebow and have Revis cover the running back in passing situations. In any event look for the D to have a big night.

Offense: You never know what the offense is going to do. When they should run they pass, and when they should pass they run. Schottenheimer is as frustrating as Mike Francesa's radio show.  Denver is ranked 24th against the pass and 16th against the run. They have given up 5 rushing touchdown's so far this year and allow 117 yds./game. They have given up 18 td's through the air, 243 yds./gm. So I think it's safe to say you want to pass against this defense. Champ Bailey will probably lock down Holmes but that leaves Burress and Keller to find some space. Kerley has already been ruled out in this game, which will hurt Sanchez's 3rd down production. These two teams actually played each other last year with the Jets winning 24-20. Sanchez had a 56.6 completion percentage, 198 yds.,1 TD, 2 INT. Tomlinson(who is out tonight)led the rushing attack with  16 carries for 55 yards and 2 TD. The Broncos defense gets a slight upgrade from last year with the addition of OLB Von Miller. I would still look for the Jets to run to set up the pass, and take some deep shots with Plaxico.

Prediction:Think the Jets start out sluggish on both sides of the ball but come out of it at half time, and win easily. JETS-27 BRONCOS-14



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